AP®︎ Statistics: Unit 2 Flashcards

Master key terms and definitions for Unit 2 of AP Statistics – Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions to help you prep for quizzes and the AP exam.


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Term

Two-Way Table / Contingency Table

Definition

Table for two categorical variables; rows and columns are categories, and each interior cell is one category combination, with row totals, column totals, and a grand total

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Two-Way Table / Contingency Table
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Table for two categorical variables; rows and columns are categories, and each interior cell is one category combination, with row totals, column totals, and a grand total

2.1.A2.1.A.1
Frequency
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The count of individuals or outcomes in a category or event

Relative Frequency
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A frequency divided by the total count; the proportion or percent in a category or event

Side-by-Side Bar Chart / Clustered Bar Chart
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Bar chart for two categorical variables with separate bars for categories of one variable within each category of the other; bars may show frequency or relative frequency

2.1.A2.1.A.2
Segmented Bar Chart
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Bar chart with one equal-length bar for each group, divided into segments for the other variable; each bar represents 100% of that group

2.1.A2.1.A.2
Mosaic Plot
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Display of a two-way table using rectangles; widths show group size, heights show conditional distribution within each group, and area shows cell frequency or joint relative frequency

2.1.A2.1.A.2
Association
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For two categorical variables, the conditional distribution of one variable differs across categories of the other; equivalently, knowing one variable gives information about the other

2.2.B2.2.B.1
Joint Relative Frequency
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Interior cell frequency divided by the grand total; proportion of all individuals in a particular combination of categories

2.2.A2.2.A.1
Marginal Relative Frequency
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Row total or column total divided by the grand total; describes one variable’s distribution ignoring the other

2.2.A2.2.A.2
Conditional Relative Frequency
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Cell frequency divided by the total for the conditioning row or column; describes a distribution within a specified category of the other variable

2.2.A2.2.A.3
Random Process
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A repeatable process whose results are determined by chance

2.3.A2.3.A.1
Outcome
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The result of one trial of a random process

2.3.A2.3.A.2
Event
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A specified collection of outcomes

2.3.A2.3.A.3
Simulation
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Using one chance process to imitate a real random process and estimate a probability from the relative frequency of an outcome or event

2.3.A2.3.A.4
Long-Run Relative Frequency Interpretation
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For many independent repetitions of a random process under the same conditions, the proportion of times E occurs approaches P(E)

2.4.A
Law of Large Numbers
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For independent trials, as the number of trials increases, the relative frequency of an outcome or event approaches its probability

2.3.A2.3.A.7
Sample Space
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The set of all possible nonoverlapping outcomes of a random process, commonly denoted S; P(S) = 1

2.4.A2.4.A.1
Theoretical Probability
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When outcomes in a finite sample space are equally likely, P(E) = number of outcomes in E divided by total number of outcomes in S

2.4.A2.4.A.2
Complement of an Event
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The event that E does not occur; all outcomes in the sample space not in E; written E′, Ē, or E^C

2.4.A2.4.A.4
Mutually Exclusive or Disjoint Events
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Two events that cannot both occur in the same trial; they have no outcomes in common, so P(A ∩ B) = 0

2.5.A2.5.A.2
Joint Probability / Intersection
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A ∩ B; the event of all outcomes that belong to both A and B, and its probability P(A ∩ B), the probability that both occur

2.5.A2.5.A.1
Conditional Probability
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Probability of A given that B has occurred; P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B), provided P(B) > 0

2.6.A2.6.A.1
General Multiplication Rule
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P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B|A), or equivalently P(A ∩ B) = P(B)P(A|B)

2.6.A2.6.A.2
Independent Events
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Events where knowing whether one occurs does not change the probability of the other; equivalently, when defined, P(A|B)=P(A) or P(B|A)=P(B), and P(A ∩ B)=P(A)P(B)

2.7.A2.7.A.1
Union of Events
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A ∪ B; the event that A or B or both occur

2.7.A2.7.A.2
General Addition Rule
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P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)

2.7.A2.7.A.3
Random Variable
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A variable that assigns a numerical value to each outcome of a random process

2.8.A2.8.A.1
Discrete Random Variable
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A random variable with a finite or countably infinite set of possible values

2.8.A2.8.A.1
Probability Distribution
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For a discrete random variable, a list, table, graph, or function giving every possible value and its probability

2.8.A2.8.A.2
Cumulative Probability Distribution / Cumulative Distribution Function
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A table or function giving F(x)=P(X≤x), the probability that a discrete random variable is less than or equal to x

2.8.A2.8.A.5
Parameter
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Numerical characteristic of a probability distribution or population; a single fixed value

2.9.A2.9.A.1
Expected Value / Mean of a Discrete Random Variable
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E(X) or μ_X; the probability-weighted average of possible values, μ_X = Σ x_i P(X = x_i)

2.9.A2.9.A.2
Standard Deviation of a Discrete Random Variable
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SD(X) or σ_X; σ_X = √(Σ (x_i - μ_X)² P(X = x_i)), the typical distance of values from the mean

2.9.A2.9.A.3
Variance of a Discrete Random Variable
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V(X), Var(X), or σ_X²; V(X) = Σ (x_i - μ_X)² P(X = x_i)

2.9.A2.9.A.3
Binomial Random Variable
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A discrete random variable that counts the number of successes in a fixed number n of independent trials with binary outcomes and the same success probability p

2.10.A2.10.A.1
X ~ Bin(n, p)
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Notation that X has a binomial distribution with n trials and probability of success p on each trial

2.10.A2.10.A.1
Binomial Probability Function
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P(X = x) = (n choose x)p^x(1 − p)^(n − x), for x = 0, 1, ..., n; gives the probability of exactly x successes

2.10.E2.10.E.1
Continuous Random Variable
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A variable that can take any value in an interval; probabilities are assigned to intervals, not single points

2.11.A2.11.A.1
Normal Distribution
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A continuous probability distribution with a unimodal, bell-shaped, symmetric density curve, determined by mean μ and standard deviation σ.

2.11.A2.11.A.3
Standard Normal Distribution
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The normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1; written Z ~ N(0,1)

2.11.B2.11.B.1
Empirical Rule (68–95–99.7 Rule)
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For a normal distribution, about 68% of values lie within 1 standard deviation of the mean, 95% within 2, and 99.7% within 3

2.11.C2.11.C.1
Probability as Area Under a Normal Curve
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For a normal random variable, the probability of an interval equals the area under the curve over that interval; total area is 1

2.11.D2.11.D.1
Z-Score
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A standardized value showing how many standard deviations a raw value is above or below the mean: z = (x - μ)/σ.

2.11.B
Percentile
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The pth percentile is a value with about p% of the distribution at or below it

2.11.F2.11.F.1
Sampling Distribution
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Distribution of a statistic’s values for all possible samples of a fixed size from a given population using the same random sampling process

2.12.A2.12.A.1
Randomization Distribution
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Distribution of a statistic generated by repeatedly randomly reallocating or reassigning observed response values to treatment groups and recalculating the statistic

2.12.A2.12.A.3
Central Limit Theorem
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For the mean x̄ of a random sample, the sampling distribution can be approximated by a normal distribution; the larger the sample size, the better the approximation

2.12.A2.12.A.4