AP®︎ Statistics: Unit 5 Flashcards

Master key terms and definitions for Unit 5 of AP Statistics – Regression Analysis to help you prep for quizzes and the AP exam.


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Term

Bivariate Quantitative Data Set

Definition

Data with two quantitative measurements for each individual; each observation is a paired ordered pair (x, y)

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Bivariate Quantitative Data Set
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Data with two quantitative measurements for each individual; each observation is a paired ordered pair (x, y)

5.1.A5.1.A.1
Scatterplot
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A graph of the relationship between two quantitative variables in which each ordered pair is plotted as one point

5.1.A5.1.A.2
Explanatory Variable and Response Variable
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The explanatory variable is used to explain or predict the response and is placed on the x-axis; the response variable is the variable being explained or predicted and is placed on the y-axis

5.1.A5.1.A.2
Form, Direction, Strength, and Unusual Features
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The four characteristics used for a complete description of a scatterplot

5.1.B5.1.B.1
Linear vs. Nonlinear Association
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Linear association follows an overall straight-line pattern, while nonlinear association follows a curved or bending pattern rather than a straight line

5.1.B5.1.B.2
Positive vs. Negative Association
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Positive association means as the explanatory variable increases, the response tends to increase; negative association means as the explanatory variable increases, the response tends to decrease

5.1.B5.1.B.3
Strength of Association
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How closely the points follow the general pattern; described visually as strong, moderate, or weak

5.1.B5.1.B.4
Cluster
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A group of points concentrated in one region of the scatterplot and somewhat separated from other groups

5.1.B5.1.B.5
Unusual Point
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A point that lies apart from the main pattern of the scatterplot

5.1.B5.1.B.5
Correlation Coefficient (r)
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Numerical summary of the direction and strength of the linear association between two quantitative variables

5.2.A5.2.A.1
Properties of Correlation
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Correlation is unit-free, is the same for x with y as for y with x, is not resistant to unusual observations, and is undefined if either variable has standard deviation 0

5.2.A5.2.A.1
No Linear Association vs. Perfect Linear Association
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No linear association means r = 0; perfect linear association means all points lie exactly on a nonhorizontal straight line, with r = 1 for positive slope and r = -1 for negative slope

5.2.A5.2.A.2
Correlation Does Not Imply Causation
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An association between two variables does not by itself show that changes in one cause changes in the other

5.2.A5.2.A.4
Linear Regression Model
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ŷ = a + bx; a linear equation that uses one quantitative explanatory variable x to predict the response variable y when the relationship appears approximately linear, where ŷ is the predicted response, a is the y-intercept, and b is the slope

5.3.A5.3.A.1
Predicted Response Value (Ŷ)
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The value of y predicted by the regression line for a given x-value

Slope
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In a regression equation, b; the change in the predicted response ŷ for a one-unit increase in x

5.3.A5.3.A.2
Y-Intercept
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In a regression equation, a; the predicted response when x = 0

5.3.A5.3.A.2
Interpolation vs. Extrapolation
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Interpolation uses a regression model to predict for an x-value within the observed range of x-values, while extrapolation predicts for an x-value beyond that range and is generally less reliable

5.3.A5.3.A.4
Residual
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Observed minus predicted response: residual = y − ŷ. Positive means the model underpredicts, negative means it overpredicts, and 0 means the point lies on the regression line

5.4.B5.4.B.1
Residual Plot
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Scatterplot of residuals versus x-values or predicted values ŷ, used to check whether a linear model is appropriate

5.4.C5.4.C.1
Residual Plot Interpretation
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Apparent randomness around 0 supports a linear model; a clear curved or other systematic pattern suggests a linear model is not appropriate

5.4.C5.4.C.3
Least-Squares Regression Line (LSRL) / Regression Line / Line of Best Fit
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The line ŷ = a + bx for predicting y from x that has the smallest possible sum of squared residuals

5.5.A5.5.A.1
Least-Squares Criterion
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Choose the line for which the sum of squared residuals, Σeᵢ², is as small as possible

5.5.A5.5.A.1
Point the LSRL Always Passes Through
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(x̄, ȳ)

5.5.A5.5.A.1
Coefficient of Determination
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r²; the proportion of variation in the response variable explained by its linear relationship with the explanatory variable

5.5.A5.5.A.5
Y-Intercept of the LSRL
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a; the predicted value of the response variable when the explanatory variable x = 0; interpret in context only if x = 0 is meaningful and relevant

5.5.B5.5.B.3