AP®︎ Statistics (pre-2026): Unit 2 Flashcards

Master key terms and definitions for Unit 2 of AP Statistics (pre-2026) – Exploring Two-Variable Data to help you prep for quizzes and the AP exam.


This course has been archived. The College Board updated AP Statistics for the 2026–27 school year, and the units and topics changed.
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Term

Categorical and Quantitative Variables

Definition

Categorical variables place individuals into groups; quantitative variables record numerical amounts or measurements.

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Categorical and Quantitative Variables
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Categorical variables place individuals into groups; quantitative variables record numerical amounts or measurements.

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Segmented Bar Chart and Mosaic Plot
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Graphs for two categorical variables that compare conditional proportions across groups.

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Apparent Pattern
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A visible trend or structure in data that may reflect a real relationship or random variation.

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Random Variation
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Natural chance-based differences in data that can create misleading patterns.

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Bivariate Data
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Data on two variables for each individual, which may be categorical or quantitative.

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Association
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A relationship between variables that can be positive, negative, or absent.

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Conditional Relative Frequency
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A proportion describing one variable within a specific category of another variable.

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Joint Relative Frequency
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A cell count divided by the total number of observations in the entire table.

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Frequency Counts vs. Relative Frequencies in a Two-Way Table
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Counts show numbers in each cell; relative frequencies show proportions or percents instead.

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Side-by-Side Bar Graph
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Bars for one categorical variable are grouped by categories of a second variable for comparison.

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Segmented Bar Graph
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Each bar represents one group and is divided into segments showing category proportions within that group.

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Mosaic Plot
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A graph of rectangles whose areas represent joint relative frequencies for two categorical variables.

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Comparing Distributions and Detecting Association
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Compare conditional proportions across groups to judge whether two categorical variables are associated.

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Two-Way Table / Contingency Table
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A table that displays counts or relative frequencies for all combinations of two categorical variables.

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Marginal Relative Frequency
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A row or column total divided by the grand total in a two-way table.

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Conditional Relative Frequency
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A cell count divided by its row or column total, showing a category's share within a given group.

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Association vs. Independence in a Two-Way Table
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Variables are associated when conditional relative frequencies differ across groups and independent when the conditional distributions are the same.

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Bivariate Quantitative Data
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Data consisting of paired numerical measurements for two variables on each individual.

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Axes in a Scatterplot
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The explanatory variable goes on the horizontal axis and the response variable on the vertical axis.

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Describing a Scatterplot
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Describe association by form, direction, strength, and unusual features, in context.

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Form of a Scatterplot
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The overall shape of the association, usually linear or nonlinear.

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Direction of Association
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The overall trend of the points, described as positive or negative.

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Strength of Association
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How closely the points follow the overall pattern, such as strong, moderate, or weak.

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Unusual Features in a Scatterplot
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Patterns that stand out, especially clusters or points far from the overall pattern.

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Cluster
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A group of nearby points that may suggest a subgroup within the data.

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Outlier in a Scatterplot
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A point with a response value far from what the overall pattern would predict.

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Explanatory Variable and Response Variable
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The x-variable explains or predicts, and the y-variable records the resulting outcome.

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Positive and Negative Association
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An increasing pattern is positive, while a decreasing pattern is negative.

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Linear and Nonlinear Association
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A straight-line pattern is linear, while a curved pattern is nonlinear.

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Scatterplot
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A graph of paired quantitative data with one variable on each axis.

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Correlation Coefficient (r)
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A number from -1 to 1 measuring the direction and strength of a linear relationship.

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Special Correlation Values
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r = 1 is perfect positive linear association, r = -1 perfect negative, and r = 0 no linear association.

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Unit-Free Nature Of Correlation
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It has no units because it is based on standardized values, not original measurement scales.

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Correlation Formula
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r = (1/(n - 1)) times the sum of paired x and y z-score products.

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Technology For Finding Correlation
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Use statistical software or a graphing calculator to compute r from paired quantitative data.

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Correlation Measures Only Linear Association
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It describes how closely points follow a straight-line pattern, not curved or other nonlinear patterns.

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High Correlation Does Not Guarantee A Linear Model
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A value near 1 or -1 can occur even when a curved pattern makes a linear model inappropriate.

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Correlation And Causation
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An association between two variables does not prove that one variable causes changes in the other.

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Outliers And Correlation
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Extreme points can strongly change the value because the calculation uses means and standard deviations.

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Direction And Strength Of Correlation
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The sign shows direction, and the size shows the strength of linear association.

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Simple Linear Regression Model
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An equation using one explanatory variable x to predict a response variable y.

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Predicted Response Value (ŷ)
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The model's estimated y-value for a given explanatory-variable value x.

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Slope and Y-Intercept in a Regression Line
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b is the change in predicted y per 1-unit x increase; a is predicted y when x = 0.

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Regression Equation and Prediction
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Use ŷ = a + bx to calculate the predicted response for a given x-value.

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Interpolation and Extrapolation
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Predictions within observed x-values are safer; beyond them, predictions are extrapolations and less reliable.

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Positive And Negative Residuals
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Positive means the model underestimated; negative means the model overestimated the actual response.

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Residual As Vertical Distance
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The vertical distance from a data point to the regression line on a scatterplot.

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Residual
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The difference between an observed response and its predicted value, found by y minus y-hat.

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Residual Plot
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A graph of residuals versus explanatory or predicted values used to assess model fit.

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Residual Plot Patterns
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Random scatter supports a linear model, while curved patterns suggest a nonlinear relationship.

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Residuals and Why They Are Squared
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Residuals are observed minus predicted values; squaring prevents cancellation and emphasizes larger errors.

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LSRL Form
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Predicted response equals y-hat = a + bx, with a as intercept and b as slope.

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Slope of the LSRL
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The predicted change in y for each 1-unit increase in x.

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Slope Formula
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Compute slope with b = r(sy/sx), using correlation and the variables' standard deviations.

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Y-Intercept Formula
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Compute intercept with a = y-bar - b x-bar.

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LSRL Passes Through (x-bar, y-bar)
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The regression line always contains the point of the sample means.

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Coefficient of Determination / r-squared
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The square of r; the proportion of y-variation explained by its linear relationship with x.

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Interpreting r-squared
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State the percent of variation in the response variable explained by the linear model with x.

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Y-Intercept of the LSRL
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The predicted y-value when x = 0, though it may lack meaning in context.

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Least Squares Regression Line (LSRL)
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The line y-hat = a + bx that minimizes the sum of squared residuals and best fits the data.

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Influential Point
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A data point whose removal substantially changes the regression line or correlation.

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Outlier in Regression
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A point far from the overall pattern vertically, with a large residual.

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High-Leverage Point
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A point with an x-value much farther from the others than most observations.

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Outliers vs. High-Leverage Points
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Outliers are unusual in y with large residuals; high-leverage points are unusual in x.

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Transformed Data Set
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A new data set created by applying a function to x, y, or both.

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Linearizing a Relationship
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Applying transformations so a curved pattern becomes approximately linear for regression.

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Exponential Model
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A nonlinear model of the form y-hat = ab^x, with constant multiplicative change.

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Power Model
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A nonlinear model of the form y-hat = ax^b, relating variables by powers.

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Exponential Model Transformation
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Take ln(y) so the model becomes linear: ln(y-hat) = ln(a) + x ln(b).

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Power Model Transformation
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Take ln(x) and ln(y) so the model becomes linear: ln(y-hat) = ln(a) + b ln(x).

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Residual Plot Evidence After Transformation
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A better model has residuals that look more random and less curved after transformation.

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Using r-Squared to Compare Transformed Models
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A transformed model is stronger when its r-squared moves closer to 1.

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Predicting with a Transformed Regression Model
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Use the transformed line, then undo the transformation to predict on the original scale.

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Influential Points and Their Types
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Outliers and high-leverage points are often influential because they can strongly change regression results.

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