AP®︎ Statistics (pre-2026): Topic 4.2 Flashcards

Master key terms and definitions for Topic 4.2 of AP Statistics (pre-2026) – Estimating Probabilities Using Simulation to help you prep for quizzes and the AP exam.


This course has been archived. The College Board updated AP Statistics for the 2026–27 school year, and the units and topics changed.
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Term

Random Process

Definition

A chance-driven process whose individual results cannot be predicted with certainty.

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Random Process
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A chance-driven process whose individual results cannot be predicted with certainty.

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Trial
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One repetition of a random process that produces a result.

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Outcome
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The single result produced by one trial of a random process.

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Event
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A set of one or more outcomes from a random process.

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Simulation
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A model of a random process that uses chance to imitate real-world outcomes.

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Chance Device
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A randomizing tool, such as digits, coins, or dice, used to model outcomes.

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True Probability
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The actual long-run probability of an outcome or event in the real process.

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Law Of Large Numbers
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As trials increase, simulated proportions tend to approach the true probability.

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How To Conduct A Simulation
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Assign chance outcomes, define one trial, repeat many times, record results, and estimate probability.

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Relative Frequency And Simulated Probability
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The proportion of trials with an outcome or event, used to estimate probability.

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