AP®︎ Statistics (pre-2026): Unit 8 Flashcards

Master key terms and definitions for Unit 8 of AP Statistics (pre-2026) – Inference for Categorical Data: Chi-Square to help you prep for quizzes and the AP exam.


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Term

Statistically Significant Difference

Definition

A result unlikely to occur by chance alone if the original claim were true.

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Statistically Significant Difference
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A result unlikely to occur by chance alone if the original claim were true.

VAR-1.J
Sample Size and Variability
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Larger samples produce less variability, making unusual departures from expectation easier to detect.

VAR-1.J
Law of Large Numbers
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As sample size increases, sample results tend to get closer to the true population value.

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Observed and Expected Counts
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Observed counts are actual totals, and expected counts are model-predicted totals for comparison.

VAR-1.JVAR-1.J.1
Random Variation or Incorrect Claim
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A question of whether differences from expectation are due to chance or a false claim.

VAR-1.JVAR-1.J.1
P-Value
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The probability, assuming the null hypothesis is true, of getting a test statistic at least as extreme as the one observed.

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Degrees of Freedom for Goodness of Fit
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The number of categories minus 1, which determines the specific chi-square distribution used.

VAR-8.AVAR-8.A.1
Distribution of Proportions for One Categorical Variable
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The set of population proportions across all categories of a single categorical variable.

VAR-8.CVAR-8.C.1
Independence Condition for Goodness of Fit
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Use a random sample or randomized experiment, and if sampling without replacement, require n over N at most 0.10.

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Large Counts Condition for Goodness of Fit
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All expected counts should be at least 5 for the chi-square approximation to be reliable.

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Parameter in a Goodness-of-Fit Test
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The true population proportion for each category of the categorical variable being studied.

VAR-8.BVAR-8.B.1
Chi-Square Distribution
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A right-skewed distribution of positive values that becomes less skewed as degrees of freedom increase.

VAR-8.AVAR-8.A.1
Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test
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A chi-square test that assesses whether one categorical variable from a single sample matches a stated or theoretical distribution of proportions.

VAR-8.CVAR-8.C.1
Chi-Square Statistic for Goodness of Fit
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The sum of (observed minus expected) squared divided by expected across all categories.

VAR-8.AVAR-8.A.1
Expected Count
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The predicted count under the null hypothesis for a category or table cell.

VAR-8.DVAR-8.D.1
Observed Count
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The actual count observed in a category or table cell from the data.

VAR-8.AVAR-8.A.1
Null Distribution for Chi-Square Goodness of Fit
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The distribution of test statistics expected if the null hypothesis and probability model are true.

VAR-8.FVAR-8.F.2
Randomization Distribution vs. Theoretical Chi-Square Distribution
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Use simulation under the null or use a chi-square model when a probability model is assumed true.

VAR-8.FVAR-8.F.2
Finding the P-Value for a Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test
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Use the chi-square table or computer output with the test statistic and degrees of freedom.

VAR-8.GVAR-8.G.1
Right-Tailed Nature of the Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test
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Larger chi-square values show greater disagreement between observed and expected counts, so only the right tail matters.

VAR-8.G
Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Conclusion
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State whether to reject or fail to reject and interpret the result in context.

DAT-3.JDAT-3.J.2
Degrees of Freedom for Goodness of Fit
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For a chi-square goodness-of-fit test, the degrees of freedom equal the number of categories minus 1.

VAR-8.FVAR-8.F.1
Decision Rule Using P-Value and Alpha
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Reject the null hypothesis if the p-value is less than alpha; otherwise, fail to reject the null hypothesis.

DAT-3.JDAT-3.J.1
Expected Count Formula
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Multiply the row total by the column total, then divide by the table total.

VAR-8.HVAR-8.H.1
Expected Counts Matrix
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A table of expected frequencies found by applying the expected count formula to every cell.

VAR-8.H
Chi-Square Test for Homogeneity
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A chi-square test that compares the distribution of a categorical variable across two or more independent populations or treatments.

VAR-8.H
Chi-Square Test for Independence
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A chi-square test that assesses whether two categorical variables are associated in a single population using one sample.

VAR-8.H
Chi-Square Test for Independence vs. Homogeneity
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Independence uses one sample from one population; homogeneity compares distributions across separate populations or treatments.

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Two-Way Table
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A table that displays counts for combinations of two categorical variables.

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Conditions for Chi-Square Tests for Independence and Homogeneity
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Use the proper random process, check n/N ≤ 10% when needed, and ensure all expected counts exceed 5.

VAR-8.KVAR-8.K.1
Degrees of Freedom for a Two-Way Table
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Calculated as (number of rows minus 1)(number of columns minus 1).

VAR-8.LVAR-8.L.1
Conclusion for a Chi-Square Test of Independence vs Homogeneity
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Independence: evidence of association; homogeneity: evidence distributions differ across populations.

DAT-3.LDAT-3.L.2
Contextual Conclusion in a Chi-Square Test
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State the decision and evidence in terms of the variables or populations studied.

DAT-3.LDAT-3.L.2
Do Not Accept the Null Hypothesis
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A non-significant result means fail to reject the null, not prove it true.

DAT-3.LDAT-3.L.1
Chi-Square Statistic for Independence or Homogeneity
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The sum of (observed minus expected) squared divided by expected over all cells in a two-way table.

VAR-8.LVAR-8.L.1
Finding a Chi-Square P-Value
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Use the chi-square distribution with the appropriate degrees of freedom, via a table or technology, to find the p-value.

VAR-8.MVAR-8.M.1
One-Way Table vs. Two-Way Table
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One-way tables summarize one categorical variable; two-way tables summarize two categorical variables together.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data
Hypotheses for Chi-Square Tests
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Null states no difference or no association; alternative states a difference in distributions or an association.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data
Z Procedures vs. Chi-Square Procedures
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Use z procedures for two-category proportions and chi-square procedures for variables with multiple categories.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data
Choosing Among Chi-Square Tests
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Use goodness of fit for one sample and one variable, independence for one sample and two variables, and homogeneity for multiple samples and one variable.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data
Null Hypothesis for Goodness of Fit
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The null hypothesis states that the population distribution for the categorical variable matches the stated or theoretical proportions; the alternative is that at least one true proportion differs.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data
Null Hypothesis for Homogeneity
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The null hypothesis states that the distributions of the categorical variable are the same across populations or treatments; the alternative is that at least one distribution differs.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data
Null Hypothesis for Independence
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The null hypothesis states that two categorical variables are independent in the population; the alternative is that they are associated.

Topic 8.7: Skills Focus: Selecting an Appropriate Inference Procedure for Categorical Data